Businesses Gartner Hype Cycle The Gartner Hype Cycle is a graphic representation of a typical pattern that occurs when new technologies or innovations are introduced. It has to do with what the market will eventually judge a technology or breakthrough to be worth. The Gartner Hype Cycle, which is closely related to the five categories of adopters, aids business owners in understanding how the market evaluates a given technology as it develops throughout its maturity lifetime.
You need to understand the Gartner Hype Cycle so you know what to expect depending on where the technology or innovation is in the cycle, whether your company is developing new technology or innovation, a service provider utilizing consulting services, or just one of the adopters.
The Gartner Hype Cycle, which describes five stages of the maturity lifecycle of new technology or innovation, was developed by Gartner.
Phase 1: Innovation/Technology Trigger
The founder(s) communicate their business concept with others during the idea validation stage of the Gartner Hype Cycle, when creating a minimum viable product, and when they present their business model and economic model to possible early-stage investors and partners.
The visibility of the new technology or idea starts to spread as early prototypes start to circulate. A select group of innovators, who are at the forefront of the five types of adopters, quickly become aware of the possibility of new technology or innovation.
The Adopters’ 5 Categories
Innovative people are drawn to cutting-edge technology, which is why they are the first to volunteer for or adopt acceptance testing. Additionally, because Innovators are socially connected, word starts to get out to other Innovators. Additionally, innovators enjoy a high social standing and are frequently regarded as experts in their field or sector. The Early Adopters, a considerably larger cohort, are informed as soon as the initial release occurs.
Early Adopters are thought leaders and visionaries in their field or sector. Early Adopters have a high level of social prestige, similar to the Innovators, which enables them to persuade others based on their beliefs. However, word-of-mouth propagates more quickly since Early Adopters are five times more common in society. Furthermore, Early Adopters are more inclined than Innovators to disseminate the news among their followers.
As the top is reached, the new idea or technology finally attracts the attention of bloggers and other influential people.
Peak of Inflated Expectations, Phase 2
The new innovation or technology must overcome what professor Everett Rodgers refers to as the Chasm in his book “Diffusion of Innovation” before moving on to phase 2 of the Gartner Hype Cycle. Early adopters and innovators tend to be more tolerant of problems and more concerned with technology and performance. The Early Majority, the following group of adopters, prefers dependable solutions and practicality to technology and performance. These Early Majority adopters express their unfavorable opinions as they run into problems and the Gartner Hype Cycle starts to decline.
Phase 3: Disillusionment Prough
The trailing edge of the Early Adopters and the Early Majority adopters frequently start using the product in Phase 3 of the Gartner Hype Cycle. The Early Majority is three times larger than the Early Adopters and accounts for a significant portion of the potential market (34%). Many issues that the Innovators and many Early Adopters had simply ignored start to arise once the product is used by a bigger audience. They are significantly less patient with difficulties and share their unfavorable experiences, which are reported by the media.
Take the Internet of Things (IoT) as an illustration. It was quite alluring to get caught up in the home automation frenzy. Many early adopters were intrigued by the idea of a smart home where you could operate various devices with just your voice and had programmable sensors. The absence of device standards, communication difficulties, and the increasing hacker susceptibility quickly drove the Early Majority away from implementing IoT-based home automation. They started disclosing their bad experiences in reviews, lowering hopes that the IoT would be the best thing ever.
In addition, the requirement to scale the solution frequently results in supply chain problems and lower quality, which worsen PR in a vicious circle. The business or sector works feverishly to resolve issues in an effort to halt the deterioration of market views and escape disaster. To remedy the flaws of the initial release, the business or sector focuses on creating more dependable and user-friendly updates to their solutions. Additionally, the business or sector frequently adds customer service divisions, training materials, and other services to combat user dissatisfaction.
Slope of Enlightenment, Phase 4
As the solution starts to mature, expectations start to rise in Phase 4 of the Gartner Hype Cycle. Best practices are adopted, and problems with the supply chain are fixed. Early Majority adopters start implementing the solution in larger numbers, which boosts word-of-mouth. Expectations gradually rise as there is less unfavorable press.
Phase 5: Productivity Plateau
The fourth group of adopters, the Late Majority adopters, start to regard the solution as mature enough to consider embracing it in phase 5 of the Gartner Hype Cycle. The late majority of adopters have limited risk tolerance and will only accept solutions they perceive to be mature and extremely stable. They frequently only agree to a solution out of a sense of impending doom. With a market share of 34%, the Late Majority generation represents a comparable market to the Early Majority. Mass adoption is well under way by phase 5 of the Gartner Hype Cycle.